In light of the recent price action, USD/CHF could now move into a consolidative phase, noted Karen Jones, Team Head FICC Technical Analysis Research at Commerzbank.
“USD/CHF has sold off aggressively following its recent failure at the 4-month downtrend at .9213 and has now closed below the .9074 200 day ma but is holding around the 61.8% retracement at .9059. We should see some consolidation here, the Elliott wave count is implying that this is the end of the move lower.”
“Below .9054/46, (the late May and early June highs as well as the early February high) will target the 78.6% retracement at .9000. This is the last defence for the .8926/31 May lows.”