Options, SV, IV, Probabilities and Low Volatility Moves


I thought I would open this thread basically about volatility analysis and/or trading, as it relates to taking positions in the real world.

… Especially when going short gamma (Selling options), but not excluding considerations when long gamma. (Buying)

Could it be that our analysis using the standard OPM could lead us into trouble especially when analysing probabilities, Vis a vis low volatility trends.

Should we, could we, you some other bottle of analysing potential moves and how…

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