Baltimore Braces for Showers and Potential Thunder as Low Pressure Approaches

Baltimore's weather takes a turn as forecasts indicate the retreat of high pressure and the incoming low that is sauntering its way to the Carolinas. The National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC gives us the lowdown on what's to come: isolated showers may grace the region later this evening, mainly south of I-66, evolving into possible heavier showers post-midnight — with a side of thunder across the Virginia Piedmont. It's a mixed bag, with temperatures hitting a comfy mid-70s to 80 for most, while the mountains keep cool in the upper 60s.
Low pressure's setting up camp on Tuesday into the belly of the week. According to the National Weather Service, the rain and thunder will make their presence known Tuesday, possibly lingering through midweek in the region. We're talking rain totals that could average half to an inch over the northern two-thirds of the area, but if you're south or hanging out east of the Blue Ridge, brace yourself for possibly up to three or even a drenching six inches, depending on how this low wants to play it out.
Moving into the latter part of the week, forecast certainty takes a nosedive thanks to an upper-level pattern playing hard to predict. Remnants of that coastal low might hang around weakened or not, with the possibility of a secondary low cranking up off the coast. The takeaway for Thursday and Friday is that shower chances are still on the table, with near-normal temperatures.
The aviation forecast isn't all clear blue for our friends taking to the skies. Low clouds might drop in, nudging conditions down to MVFR or a possibility of IFR status today. The low rumbling on Tuesday could lead to IFR restrictions and keep them company through Wednesday, with winds rolling out of the east/northeast. By the end of the week, fliers may find relief with a shot at VFR and reduced shower chances.
Boating conditions are shaping to be choppy, with Small Craft Advisory in effect thanks to that east-to-northeast wind tug-of-war between the approaching low and the persistent high. Mariners should keep a watchful eye on the horizon as conditions could tip into advisory territory, especially on Tuesday morning. And let's not ignore the tide tables — coastal flooding is on the betting table, with minor incidents more likely, albeit less aggressive than initially expected due to the low's southerly dance and the winds taking a more northeasterly lean, as the National Weather Service alerts.
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